27May
Datuk Seri Najib, awak bohong ke?
Ketua Penerangan PAS, Haji Mahfuz Omar beritahu saya, "Hang tengok news ChannelNewsAsia. Dia kata Malaysia ni dah nak technical recession, kan?"Semalan hang bubuh dalam blog hang, (Datuk Seri) Najib (Tun Razak) kata, negara tidak dijangka terjerumus ke dalam kemelesetan atau kemelesetan teknikal."Tu tak pa lagi, aku jumpa news Najib kata kerajaan yakin bahawa Malaysia tidak akan mengalami kemelesetan ekonomi teknikal tahun ni. News Bernama tu.
Datuk Seri Najib, awak bohong ke?
Ketua Penerangan PAS, Haji Mahfuz Omar beritahu saya, "Hang tengok news ChannelNewsAsia. Dia kata Malaysia ni dah nak technical recession, kan?"Semalan hang bubuh dalam blog hang, (Datuk Seri) Najib (Tun Razak) kata, negara tidak dijangka terjerumus ke dalam kemelesetan atau kemelesetan teknikal."Tu tak pa lagi, aku jumpa news Najib kata kerajaan yakin bahawa Malaysia tidak akan mengalami kemelesetan ekonomi teknikal tahun ni. News Bernama tu.
"Hari ni, (Gabenor Bank Negara Malaysia Tan Sri Dr) Zeti (Akhtar Aziz) kata dia jangka ekonomi akan terus menguncup suku kedua tahun ini. News Bernama jugak."Hang tengok balik news yang hang bubuh dalam blog hang tu, Najib kata kemelesetan teknikal berlaku apabila tahap keluaran sebenar nasional merosot dalam dua suku tahun berturut-turut yang menyebabkan penguncupan dalam jumlah pengeluaran ekonomi."Malaysiakini pula report Zeti kata, suku kedua akan lebih teruk."Hang tolong search news Harakah, kalau tak silap MIER (Institut Kajian Ekonomi Malaysia) kata, tahun ni memang technical recession. Time statement tu kalau tak silap sebelum Najib kata kerajaan yakin Malaysia tak akan technical recession.
"Orang cerdik daripada dia dah bagi tau technical recession, dia pi konar kot lain. Tu nak kata apa tu? Orang boleh tuduh Najib bohong tu!"Berita ChannelNewsAsia 27/5/09
Malaysia heads for recession after 6.2% Q1 contractionKUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia's export-dependent economy shrank 6.2 per cent in the first three months of 2009 and was headed for a technical recession, the central bank said Wednesday.Bank Negara governor Zeti Akhtar Aziz said that second-quarter results "will be very similar" to the outcome in the first quarter which saw the economy contract for the first time in nearly eight years."We are almost completing the second quarter and we see that the export sectors and export demand continue to remain weak and the environment is still challenging," she said.Two successive quarters of negative economic growth represent a technical recession.Zeti said a recovery in the economy, which has been battered by falling exports and manufacturing, will gather pace in the second half of the year."In the third quarter we will see a significant improvement taking place and in the fourth quarter we have a higher degree of confidence that we will have positive growth," she told a press conference.The economy grew by a bare 0.1 per cent in the last quarter of 2008, but the first 2009 quarter's outcome was worse than economists had expected.In March, the government warned the economy could contract by 1.0 per cent this year despite a massive, 16.2-billion-dollar stimulus package, dumping its earlier target of 3.5 per cent growth.However, Second Finance Minister Ahmad Husni Mohamad Hanadzlah said earlier this week that the contraction would be sharper than previously forecast."I cannot tell you but it will definitely be below minus 1.0 per cent," he said. Berita Harakah 5/11/08
Malaysia heads for recession after 6.2% Q1 contractionKUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia's export-dependent economy shrank 6.2 per cent in the first three months of 2009 and was headed for a technical recession, the central bank said Wednesday.Bank Negara governor Zeti Akhtar Aziz said that second-quarter results "will be very similar" to the outcome in the first quarter which saw the economy contract for the first time in nearly eight years."We are almost completing the second quarter and we see that the export sectors and export demand continue to remain weak and the environment is still challenging," she said.Two successive quarters of negative economic growth represent a technical recession.Zeti said a recovery in the economy, which has been battered by falling exports and manufacturing, will gather pace in the second half of the year."In the third quarter we will see a significant improvement taking place and in the fourth quarter we have a higher degree of confidence that we will have positive growth," she told a press conference.The economy grew by a bare 0.1 per cent in the last quarter of 2008, but the first 2009 quarter's outcome was worse than economists had expected.In March, the government warned the economy could contract by 1.0 per cent this year despite a massive, 16.2-billion-dollar stimulus package, dumping its earlier target of 3.5 per cent growth.However, Second Finance Minister Ahmad Husni Mohamad Hanadzlah said earlier this week that the contraction would be sharper than previously forecast."I cannot tell you but it will definitely be below minus 1.0 per cent," he said. Berita Harakah 5/11/08
Kemelesetan: Dakwaan Najib bertentangan pakar ekonomiKUALA LUMPUR, 5 Nov (Hrkh) - Timbalan Perdana Menteri Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak berkata kerajaan yakin bahawa Malaysia tidak akan mengalami kemelesetan ekonomi teknikal pada tahun hadapan.Dakwaan Najib itu bertentangan dengan pandangan pakar-pakar ekonomi termasuk jangkaan Pengarah Eksekutif Institut Kajian Ekonomi Malaysia (MIER), Profesor Emeritus Datuk Mohamed Ariff mengenai perkara itu.Mohamed Ariff berkata, jika Amerika yang merupakan salah satu rakan dagangan utama Malaysia menghadapi kemelesetan, peratusan kemungkinan Malaysia akan menghadapi kemelesetan teknikal tahun hadapan meningkat sehingga 40 peratus."Ia bermakna pertumbuhan negatif untuk dua suku tahunan dan 30 peratus kemungkinan ia akan menjadi kemelesetan sebenarnya yang berpanjangan melebihi dua suku tahunan, bergantung kepada apa yang berlaku di Amerika," katanya.
Menurut beliau, krisis kredit dunia tidak menunjukkan tanda-tanda akan reda walaupun kerajaan-kerajaan seluruh dunia berusaha mengurangkan kadar faedah dan menyuntik kecairan besar-besaran.Mohamed Ariff berkata, kini semakin kuat kebimbangan tentang kemungkinan kemelut ekonomi dunia berlarutan sehingga akhir 2010 atau 2011.Beliau juga menyatakan bahawa keyakinan pengguna dan perniagaan di Malaysia jatuh menjunam dan keadaan akan mungkin akan bertambah buruk jika pengurangan pinjaman mengakibatkan kekeringan dana untuk pelaburan dan perbelanjaan isi rumahPandangan Najib juga bertentangan dengan pandangan Ahli Majlis Ekonomi Malaysia, Datuk Mohamed Azman Yahya yang mengingatkan bahawa kemerosotan ekonomi yang semakin hampir mungkin lebih mencabar dari krisis yang dihadapi pada tahun 1998Dalam krisis kali ini, katanya, Malaysia menghadapi risiko stagflasi di mana pertumbuhan akan bergerak perlahan di dalam persekitaran yang tinggi kosnya.
Ia juga mungkin yang terburuk, katanya, dan apa yang lebih membimbangkan ialah kemerosotan kali ini ialah fenomena global."Dari segi reaksi yang bersifat polisi ia mengelirukan - terlalu banyak ransangan sama ada dari segi fiskal atau kewangan mungkin mengakibatkan tekanan inflasi, (jika ransangan) terlalu sedikit mungkin membawa kepada kemelesetan," kata Pengerusi Eksekuti Bolton Berhad itu.Malaysia juga, katanya, mungkin akan menghadapi cabaran dari segi daya saing secara umum terutama kerana ia terlalu lama bergantung kepada buruh asing yang murah.Mohamed Azman juga membangkitkan sentimen umum yang pesimis dan keyakinan pengguna yang rendah dan langkah berjimat cermat yang semakin meluas akan memberi kesan kepada kelajuan aliran wang dan ekonomi domestik.
Sebelum ini, laporan Political & Economic Risk Consultancy (PERC) yang berpengkalan di Hong Kong meletakkan Malaysia antara negara yang paling berisiko tinggi dalam menghadapi krisis ekonomi dunia yang dijangka akan bertambah buruk.The Straits Times Singapura melaporkan, berdasarkan skala 0 kepada yang paling tidak berisiko hinggalah 10 kepada yang paling berisiko, Malaysia diletakkan pada tahap 6.07, iaitu antara yang paling berisiko tinggi di samping India (6.87) dan Thailand (6.28).Datuk Seri Najib, kawan tak nak kata awak pembohong jenis compulsive liar. Kawan nak tanya je, awak bohong ke?
Berkaitan:The Malaysian economy is worse than expected (Malaysian Insider)Malaysia heads toward recession after economy contracts 6.2%
(Bloomberg)Malaysia heads for recession after 6.2% Q1 contraction
(AFP)Malaysia's economy shrinks sharper-than-expected by 6.2 percent in first quarter
(AP)Economy contracts 6.2% in 1Q
(The Nut Graph)Outlook: India, South Korea and Southeast Asia (ThomasNet)
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